Latest News & PROPHECY – Germany frets about its EU dominance If Britain votes to leave
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Germany frets about its EU dominance If Britain votes to leave
By Stefan Wagstyl in Berlin Published: 18th June 2016
If the UK leaves Germany’s choice of heavyweight partners would shrink
The surge in support for the campaign to take Britain out of the EU in next week’s referendum is rattling its partners, above all Germany.
While Chancellor Angela Merkel maintains her characteristic sangfroid, her colleagues are letting the strain show. Foreign minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier told a conference last week: “If it really comes to Great Britain leaving, then the EU will find itself in a deep crisis.”
Almost as he was speaking, financial markets were falling: the euro is 1.5 per cent down against the US dollar in a week and the Dax German share index 5 per cent lower. Yields on the German 10-year bond have turned negative.
But market uncertainty is the least of Berlin’s concerns. The finance ministry thinks Europe’s markets can pull through any Brexit-related turbulence especially as the European Central Bank has proved it can contain shocks.
German industry frets over the potential impact on its complex trade relations with the UK, its third-biggest export market. But with domestic growth strong, executives think they can take the hit if they have to.
For Ms Merkel the problem is not economic: it is political. Their biggest fear is for the stability of the EU and Germany’s dominant role within it.
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